Permitting Reform: The Supreme Court Weighs In

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The National Environmental Policy Act, commonly known as NEPA, requires that large projects obtain federal environmental permits if they cross state borders or...

What Does a Rising Long Term US Government Yield Mean?

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I was thinking about this, as people were remarking on how the 30 year bond was rising. First, let’s think of how the long...

Economic Activity: GDP, GDO, GDP+, Final Sales

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As of 2nd release for 2025Q1. Figure 1: GDP (bold black), GDO (light blue), GDP+ based on 2022Q4 GDP (tan), final sales (red), all...

Weekly Indicators of GDP Growth

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The Lewis-Mertens-Stock/NY Fed measure for data through 5/24 is down to 1.88%, down from 2.79% on the week of Trump’s inauguration, down from...

Furniture Prices Up, Up and Away in April

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Can’t wait to see May data. Figure 1: PPI for furniture and household durables, n.s.a. (blue, left log scale), and CPI for furniture and...

Some Stabilization in Economic Confidence

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While (UMich) economic sentiment (preliminary) falls. Figure 1: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (blue, left scale), Conference Board Consumer Confidence (tan, left scale), Gallup Economic...

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