Adam Smith on Those Who Wish to Dominate Others

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One of my long-ago professors–not an economist, and not a political conservative– sometimes said that Adam Smith was just flat out deeper and...

*Not* Making the Planes Run on Time

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What exactly has the current administration gotten us? Not lower prices (as was promised). For now, not apparently safer skies. Source: Bloomberg via ClaimsJournal. So,...

Snapshots about the Federal Workforce

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I saw some mention that there has been a sharp rise in federal civilian employment in 2023 and 2024. When I tracked down...

Envisaging a 40% Decline in Long Beach Container Traffic

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“LA County ports expect roughly 40% drop in traffic as Trump’s tariffs continue”: Figure 1: Long Beach inbound TEUs by month (blue), and 40%...

Near Horizon Recession Probability | Econbrowser

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I run a probit regression of a NBER peak-to-trough recession dummy on contemporaneous Michigan sentiment (FRED variable UMCSENT, and final reading for March)...

Kenneth Arrow on Health Care: It’s Not What You Think

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As a health reform discussion lengthens, the probability that someone will cite Kenneth Arrow approaches 1. Close behind is the probability that this...

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