Business Cycle Indicators: Employment in March
Mid-March to be specific.
Figure 1: Nonfarm Payroll incl benchmark revision employment from CES (bold blue), implied NFP from preliminary benchmark through December (thin...
Nowcasts, 4/5 | Econbrowser
NY Fed nowcast down.
Figure 1: GDP (black), GDPNow of 4/1 (red triangle), GDPNow adjusted for gold imports (pink square), NY Fed (blue square),...
Has the Recession Already Started?
Even if the answer is yes, we won’t know for a long time.
Here’s the odds on the recession start, with Q1 at 19%,...
