GDPNow Bouncing near Zero | Econbrowser
From Atlanta Fed today:
Source: Atlanta Fed, accessed 3/26/2025.
What’s this mean for the trajectory of GDP? Note GS at 1.3%, while NY Fed (last...
Conference Board: “US Consumer Confidence tumbled again in March”
Conference Board confidence index at 92.9 vs. 94.2 consensus. Here’s confidence vs. U.Mich sentiment (all standardized).
Figure 1: U.Michigan Economic Sentiment (blue), Conference Board Confidence...
The Impracticality of Henry George’s Land Tax
For those not familiar with the work of Henry George (1839-1897), he is best-known today for the thesis of a book called Progress...
“the stock market has predicted nine out of the last five recessions”
As attributed to Paul Samuelson. So, with trepidation, I show the SP500 and CAPE over the last half decade:
Figure 1: SP500 (blue, left...
