What a Difference Two Weeks Makes: NABE Economists on the “Liberation Day” Effect

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From NABE two days ago, responses pre- and post-“Liberation Day”: From the NABE statement: The initial April 2025 NABE Outlook presents the consensus macroeconomic forecast...

WSJ Survey of Economists – April 2025

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The GDP outlook is down markedly. I was insufficiently pessimistic (relative to WSJ survey respondents) regarding the GDP outlook. Figure 1: GDP (bold black),...

Expectations Continue to Fall Off a Cliff

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NY Fed future financial situation “better off” revised up, but continues decline. Figure 1: U.Michigan expectations index (blue), and NY “better off” aggregate (tan), both...

Tax Privacy – Conversable Economist

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In an era where many people are highly sensitive to what personal information is being collected about them, and how that information is...

Rational and Religious (with Ross Douthat)

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0:37Intro. Russ Roberts: Today is March 19th, 2025, and my guest is author and journalist, Ross Douthat. He is an Opinion Columnist for...

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