Little Progress in Reducing US Carbon Emissions

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There’s a game played about reducing US carbon emissions that I find annoying. It involves making a big deal about announcing timelines, but...

Economy back to growing | Econbrowser

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The Bureau of Economic Analysis announced today that seasonally adjusted U.S. real GDP grew at a 3.0% annual rate in the second quarter....

Final Nowcast for Q2 | Econbrowser

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Atlanta Fed nowcast incorporating advance economic indicators indicates 2.9% q/q AR, up from 2.4%. The news is in final sales to private domestic...

Forecasts: CEA >> IMF > WSJ

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From IMF’s July World Economic Outlook, released today: Figure 1: GDP (bold black), CBO current law projection of January (tan), implied CEA forecast using...

Global Trade Imbalances: An IMF Perspective

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Global trade imbalances got bigger in 2024, driven by the big economies. Here’s a figure from the External Sector Report: Global Imbalances in...

A Quasi-Real Time Measure of the Average Effective Tariff Rate

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The Yale Budget Lab regularly (’cause… Trump) updates the stated effective tariff rate. But what’s the actual effective tariff rate in effect given...

Conference Board: Economic Confidence Up (a Little)

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The Conference Board today: The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index® improved by 2.0 points in July to 97.2 (1985=100), from 95.2 in June (revised up by...

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