CEA Unleashed! | Econbrowser

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From reputable studies, that is. CEA concludes in its report on the OBBB: $1.3 to $3.7 trillion in additional offsetting deficit reduction from higher...

“That Drop in Consumer Income in May Was a False Recession Alarm”

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That’s the title of an article from yesterday. Maybe, but the drop in consumption spending might be. Also, personal income excluding transfers also...

Dollar Decline and Incipient Inflationary Pressures

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Trump has indicated his desire for a weaker dollar. It looks like he’s getting it. Figure 1: Fed broad dollar index, 2006M01=100 (black, left...

GDP Nowcast Dispersion plus Slowing Final Sales to Private Domestic Purchasers

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From GDP Q1 3rd release and nowcasts plus tracking. GDPNow is down on personal income and spending release, advanced economic indicators, as well...

Business Cycle Indicators: The Slowdown Cometh?

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Personal income, consumption both down in May, with today’s release. Industrial production, civilian employment in NFP concept down from previous releases. Monthly GDP...

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