Guest Contribution: “Trump’s Taylor Rule”

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Today, we present a guest post written by Jeffrey Frankel, Harpel Professor at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, and formerly a member of the...

Trade Policy Uncertainty on the Eve

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Baker, Bloom and Davis and Caldara et al. measures: Figure 1: EPU-trade category (blue, left scale), and Trade Policy Uncertainty index (red, right scale)....

Instantaneous Core Inflation Again Rising

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Though not quite to February rates: Figure 1: Instantaneous inflation for core CPI (blue), core PCE deflator (brown), core PCE deflator (market) (green) per...

CRFB CEA Watch | Econbrowser

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CRFB spreadsheet here for now; to be updated. Figure 1: CBO GDP projection from January 2025 (black), implied CEA June forecast (blue), both in...

State of the Macroeconomy: GDP, Key Indicators as of 7/31

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Following up on Jim’s post on the GDP release yesterday, looking at different aspects of economic activity: Quarterly Indicators First, ignoring the self-congratulatory remarks of...

Refocusing US Health Care Spending

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The ongoing paradox of the US health care system is that US per capita spending on health care is much higher than...

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