Guest Contribution: “Trump’s Taylor Rule”
Today, we present a guest post written by Jeffrey Frankel, Harpel Professor at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, and formerly a member of the...
Trade Policy Uncertainty on the Eve
Baker, Bloom and Davis and Caldara et al. measures:
Figure 1: EPU-trade category (blue, left scale), and Trade Policy Uncertainty index (red, right scale)....
Instantaneous Core Inflation Again Rising
Though not quite to February rates:
Figure 1: Instantaneous inflation for core CPI (blue), core PCE deflator (brown), core PCE deflator (market) (green) per...
CRFB CEA Watch | Econbrowser
CRFB spreadsheet here for now; to be updated.
Figure 1: CBO GDP projection from January 2025 (black), implied CEA June forecast (blue), both in...
State of the Macroeconomy: GDP, Key Indicators as of 7/31
Following up on Jim’s post on the GDP release yesterday, looking at different aspects of economic activity:
Quarterly Indicators
First, ignoring the self-congratulatory remarks of...
Refocusing US Health Care Spending
The ongoing paradox of the US health care system is that US per capita spending on health care is much higher than...