Republicans’ Economic Outlook Darken | Econbrowser
Preliminary results indicate that this development precedes “Liberation Day”:
Figure 1: University of Michigan Survey of Consumers expectations for Democratic/lean Democratic (blue), Independent (gray),...
GDP on a Lower Trajectory – Survey of Professional Forecasters
From Survey of Professional Forecasters:
Figure 1: GDP (bold black), May SPF median (light blue), February SPF median (red), GDPNow, 5/16 (blue square), all...
Michigan Survey Implies a Catastrophic Collapse of Fed Inflation Credibility
NY Fed survey doesn’t.
Figure 1: Bordo-Siklos measure of central bank credibility, using 5 year Michigan expectations (blue). Assumes 2.45% CPI inflation is consistent with...
Economic Sentiment Continues to Fall as Inflation Expectations Climb Further
Sentiment (prelminary) below consensus.
Figure 1: U.Michigan Economic Sentiment (blue), Conference Board Confidence Index (brown), Gallup Confidence (green), all demeaned and divided by standard...
The Import-So-That-They-Can-Export Firms – Conversable Economist
Much of the discussion about trade and imports is based on discussions of products and sectors of the economy. But among the researchers...
